{"id":608,"date":"2026-03-17T09:10:44","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T09:10:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rotharia.com\/uncategorized\/navigating-geopolitical-risk-in-family-offices\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T09:10:44","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T09:10:44","slug":"%e6%8a%8a%e6%8f%a1%e5%ae%b6%e6%97%8f%e5%8a%9e%e5%85%ac%e5%ae%a4%e7%9a%84%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb%e9%a3%8e%e9%99%a9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rotharia.com\/zh\/family-offices\/family-office-risk-management\/navigating-geopolitical-risk-in-family-offices\/","title":{"rendered":"\u628a\u63e1\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\">\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1080\" height=\"720\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rotharia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/rotharia_image_20260316_5fa153.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-607\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.rotharia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/rotharia_image_20260316_5fa153.jpg 1080w, https:\/\/www.rotharia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/rotharia_image_20260316_5fa153-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.rotharia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/rotharia_image_20260316_5fa153-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.rotharia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/rotharia_image_20260316_5fa153-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.rotharia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/rotharia_image_20260316_5fa153-18x12.jpg 18w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1080px) 100vw, 1080px\" \/>\n<figcaption><em>\u7167\u7247\u7531 Allen Y (@yanahd) \u5728 Unsplash \u4e0a\u62cd\u6444<\/em><\/figcaption>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n<style>body.single-post .cm-featured-image { display: none !important; }<\/style>\n\n    <p>\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u76f8\u4e92\u8054\u7cfb\u65e5\u76ca\u7d27\u5bc6\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\uff0c\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u9a7e\u9a6d\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u6311\u6218\u3002\u4ece\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u5230\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u98ce\u9669\u4f1a\u5bf9\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u7ba1\u7406\u7684\u5168\u7403\u6295\u8d44\u4ea7\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8bba\u575b\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c70% \u7684\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u662f\u5176\u6295\u8d44\u6218\u7565\u7684\u9996\u8981\u5173\u6ce8\u70b9\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u62c5\u5fe7\u51f8\u663e\u4e86\u4e86\u89e3\u548c\u964d\u4f4e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u98ce\u9669\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6301\u7eed\u91d1\u878d\u7e41\u8363\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u3002.<\/p>\n    \n    <h2>\u80cc\u666f\u4ecb\u7ecd<\/h2>\n    <p>\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd1\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u5b83\u5bf9\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u65e5\u76ca\u660e\u663e\u3002\u4ece\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u770b\uff0c\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u7531\u4e8e\u5176\u79c1\u4eba\u6027\u8d28\u548c\u591a\u5143\u5316\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u53ef\u4ee5\u514d\u53d7\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u52a8\u8361\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u5173\u952e\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u8981\u6c42\u6211\u4eec\u91c7\u53d6\u66f4\u52a0\u79ef\u6781\u4e3b\u52a8\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002.<\/p>\n    <p>\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u673a\u4f1a\u7684\u5168\u7403\u5316\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u56fd\u9645\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u548c\u975e\u6d32\u65b0\u5174\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5d1b\u8d77\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u5229\u6da6\u4e30\u539a\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u548c\u76d1\u7ba1\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u5173\u4e8e\u6b27\u6d32\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u6295\u8d44\u4e2d\u56fd\u79d1\u6280\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u5c0f\u578b\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76\u8bf4\u660e\u4e86\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6027\u3002\u8be5\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u79d1\u6280\u7e41\u8363\u65f6\u671f\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u53ef\u89c2\u7684\u56de\u62a5\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u76d1\u7ba1\u6253\u538b\u4e2d\u9762\u4e34\u4e25\u91cd\u632b\u6298\u3002.<\/p>\n    <p>\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u670d\u52a1\u7684\u6570\u5b57\u5316\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u65b0\u7684\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u3002\u7f51\u7edc\u5b89\u5168\u5a01\u80c1\u65e5\u76ca\u4ee4\u4eba\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u5f80\u5f80\u8868\u73b0\u4e3a\u7f51\u7edc\u653b\u51fb\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u7834\u574f\u91d1\u878d\u4e1a\u52a1\u30022017 \u5e74\u7684 WannaCry \u52d2\u7d22\u8f6f\u4ef6\u653b\u51fb\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u8be5\u653b\u51fb\u5f71\u54cd\u4e86\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u7684\u673a\u6784\uff0c\u51f8\u663e\u4e86\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u91c7\u53d6\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\u5b89\u5168\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\u3002.<\/p>\n    \n    <h2>\u4e3b\u8981\u6570\u636e\u548c\u8d8b\u52bf<\/h2>\n    <ul>\n        <li>\u574e\u666e\u767b\u8d22\u5bcc\u516c\u53f8\uff08Campden Wealth\uff09\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5316\u5bfc\u81f4\u8fc7\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u4e2d\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u5728\u65b0\u5174\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u589e\u52a0\u4e86 301TP3\u3002.<br><br><\/li>\n        <li>\u636e\u300a\u5168\u7403\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u62a5\u544a\u300b\uff08Global Family Office Report\uff09\u79f0\uff0c\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u7684\u52a0\u5267\u4e0e\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u5185\u90e8\u98ce\u9669\u7ba1\u7406\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u6709 15% \u7684\u5173\u8054\u3002.<br><br><\/li>\n        <li>\u6280\u672f\u7684\u8fdb\u6b65\u4f7f\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u91c7\u7528\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u5206\u6790\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5176\u9884\u6d4b\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u3002.<br><br><\/li>\n        <li>\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u6700\u9ad8\u8fbe 20%\uff0c\u5f71\u54cd\u4e86\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u6240\u6301\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u4f30\u503c\u3002.<br><br><\/li>\n        <li>\u6839\u636e\u745e\u94f6\u96c6\u56e2\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c60% \u7684\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u76ee\u524d\u6b63\u5728\u5c06\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u60c5\u666f\u7eb3\u5165\u5176\u6295\u8d44\u51b3\u7b56\u6d41\u7a0b\u3002.<\/li>\n    <\/ul>\n    \n    <h2>\u4e13\u5bb6\u89c2\u70b9<\/h2>\n    <p>\u4f26\u6566\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u9662\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u6307\u51fa\uff1a\u201c......\u201c<i>\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u5fc5\u987b\u91c7\u53d6\u5168\u9762\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u7ba1\u7406\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5c06\u5b9a\u91cf\u5206\u6790\u548c\u5b9a\u6027\u5206\u6790\u7ed3\u5408\u8d77\u6765\u3002.<\/i>\u201d\u8fd9\u51f8\u663e\u4e86\u4e0d\u80fd\u4ec5\u4ec5\u4f9d\u8d56\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u8fd8\u8981\u8003\u8651\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u683c\u5c40\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u3002.<\/p>\n    <p>\u4e00\u5bb6\u77e5\u540d\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u7684\u5168\u7403\u6218\u7565\u4e3b\u7ba1\uff0c\u201c<i>\u8de8\u8d44\u4ea7\u7c7b\u522b\u548c\u5730\u57df\u7684\u5206\u6563\u6295\u8d44\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u4f46\u4e86\u89e3\u6bcf\u4e2a\u5730\u533a\u72ec\u7279\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7ec6\u5fae\u5dee\u522b\u4e5f\u540c\u6837\u91cd\u8981\u3002.<\/i>\u201d\u4ed6\u7684\u6d1e\u5bdf\u529b\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u5c06\u591a\u6837\u5316\u4e0e\u6df1\u539a\u7684\u5730\u533a\u4e13\u4e1a\u77e5\u8bc6\u76f8\u7ed3\u5408\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\u3002.<\/p>\n    <p>\u4e00\u4f4d\u98ce\u9669\u7ba1\u7406\u987e\u95ee\u5efa\u8bae\uff1a\u201c<i>\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u60c5\u666f\u89c4\u5212\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba9\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e3a\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7ed3\u679c\u505a\u597d\u51c6\u5907\u3002.<\/i>\u201d\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u51cf\u8f7b\u4e0d\u53ef\u9884\u89c1\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002.<\/p>\n    \n    <h2>\u5f71\u54cd\u3001\u5c55\u671b\u548c\u53ef\u884c\u89c1\u89e3<\/h2>\n    <p>\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u5bf9\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u662f\u6df1\u8fdc\u7684\uff0c\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u6295\u8d44\u6218\u7565\u548c\u8fd0\u8425\u51b3\u7b56\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u5e94\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u53ef\u4ee5\u5b9e\u65bd\u4e00\u4e9b\u53ef\u884c\u7684\u89c1\u89e3\u3002.<\/p>\n    <ul>\n        <li>\u5efa\u7acb\u4e13\u95e8\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u7ba1\u7406\u56e2\u961f\uff0c\u6301\u7eed\u76d1\u6d4b\u548c\u5206\u6790\u5168\u7403\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002.<br><br><\/li>\n        <li>\u5229\u7528\u98ce\u9669\u8bc4\u4f30\u8f6f\u4ef6\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\u5206\u6790\u7b49\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u6280\u672f\u52a0\u5f3a\u6570\u636e\u9a71\u52a8\u578b\u51b3\u7b56\u3002.<br><br><\/li>\n        <li>\u4e0e\u5f53\u5730\u4e13\u5bb6\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u5206\u6790\u5bb6\u63a5\u89e6\uff0c\u6df1\u5165\u4e86\u89e3\u5730\u533a\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u6c14\u5019\u3002.<br><br><\/li>\n        <li>\u5b9a\u671f\u5f00\u5c55\u60c5\u666f\u89c4\u5212\u6f14\u7ec3\uff0c\u4e3a\u5404\u79cd\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u4e8b\u6001\u53d1\u5c55\u505a\u597d\u51c6\u5907\u3002.<br><br><\/li>\n        <li>\u4e0e\u56fd\u9645\u5408\u4f5c\u4f19\u4f34\u5efa\u7acb\u7262\u56fa\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4fe1\u606f\u4ea4\u6d41\u548c\u5408\u4f5c\u98ce\u9669\u7ba1\u7406\u3002.<\/li>\n    <\/ul>\n    <p>\u5c55\u671b\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u5fc5\u987b\u4fdd\u6301\u6218\u7565\u7684\u7075\u6d3b\u6027\u548c\u9002\u5e94\u6027\u3002\u5c06\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u7ba1\u7406\u7eb3\u5165\u6295\u8d44\u6846\u67b6\u4e0d\u518d\u662f\u53ef\u6709\u53ef\u65e0\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u957f\u671f\u6210\u529f\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6761\u4ef6\u3002.<\/p>\n    \n    <h2>\u672a\u6765\u5c55\u671b\u548c\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u884c\u52a8<\/h2>\n    <p>\u672a\u6765\u4e09\u5230\u4e94\u5e74\uff0c\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u968f\u7740\u5168\u7403\u683c\u5c40\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u800c\u6f14\u53d8\u3002\u65b0\u5174\u6280\u672f\u548c\u300a\u7b2c\u5341\u4e5d\u6b21\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u6253\u51fb\u8de8\u56fd\u6709\u7ec4\u7ec7\u72af\u7f6a\u516c\u7ea6\u300b\u540e\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u8c03\u6574\u5c06\u53d1\u6325\u91cd\u8981\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u6d0b-\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u5730\u533a\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u70ed\u70b9\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u4e0e\u65e5\u4ff1\u589e\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7ed9\u5bb6\u65cf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u5e26\u6765\u6311\u6218\u548c\u673a\u9047\u3002\u6839\u636e\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08International Monetary Fund\uff09\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5230 2025 \u5e74\uff0c\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u5c06\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u505a\u51fa 50% \u7684\u8d21\u732e\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u6210\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u91cd\u70b9\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u5730\u533a\u3002.<\/p>\n    \n    <h2>\u7ed3\u8bba<\/h2>\n    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